Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.029414 0.031694 0.034079 0.036762 0.039702 0.042828 0.046409
2025-02-09 0.025489 0.028694 0.032226 0.036419 0.041279 0.046755 0.053422
2025-02-16 0.022936 0.026674 0.030957 0.036255 0.042670 0.050236 0.059905
2025-02-23 0.020970 0.025028 0.029825 0.035959 0.043658 0.053088 0.065644
2025-03-02 0.019537 0.023838 0.029060 0.035929 0.044826 0.056093 0.071654
2025-03-09 0.018137 0.022549 0.028027 0.035414 0.045246 0.058066 0.076356
2025-03-16 0.016868 0.021317 0.026954 0.034724 0.045318 0.059500 0.080340
2025-03-23 0.015904 0.020406 0.026217 0.034391 0.045794 0.061445 0.085102
2025-03-30 0.015056 0.019588 0.025538 0.034067 0.046220 0.063296 0.089806
2025-04-06 0.014175 0.018671 0.024663 0.033400 0.046089 0.064302 0.093277
2025-04-13 0.013730 0.018319 0.024533 0.033756 0.047425 0.067493 0.100270
2025-04-20 0.013194 0.017809 0.024149 0.033710 0.048146 0.069784 0.105994
2025-04-27 0.012829 0.017525 0.024074 0.034117 0.049578 0.073270 0.113956
2025-05-04 0.012268 0.016934 0.023526 0.033784 0.049848 0.074945 0.119052
2025-05-11 0.011802 0.016457 0.023116 0.033630 0.050374 0.077042 0.125005
2025-05-18 0.011338 0.015960 0.022651 0.033358 0.050684 0.078789 0.130461
2025-05-25 0.010972 0.015590 0.022356 0.033331 0.051376 0.081194 0.137264
2025-06-01 0.010517 0.015067 0.021802 0.032860 0.051301 0.082279 0.141718
2025-06-08 0.010051 0.014508 0.021170 0.032228 0.050913 0.082788 0.145110
2025-06-15 0.009692 0.014101 0.020753 0.031924 0.051057 0.084225 0.150375
2025-06-22 0.009357 0.013715 0.020355 0.031627 0.051192 0.085642 0.155698
2025-06-29 0.008970 0.013235 0.019786 0.031016 0.050739 0.085953 0.158817
2025-07-06 0.008811 0.013107 0.019774 0.031342 0.051959 0.089416 0.168648